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CYCLES PART 2

26/08/10

WE ARE IN A NEW LAND….SAME OLD CYCLE(OR BIKE…)

I am going to jump right into the next end of the cycle/pattern talk today. While we await the fed chairman’s wonderful words of blah,blah and a BLAH!! SO TO EXPLAIN THE BLAH AND BLAH REMARK… the world is in a new way (y2k…baby!!) since the turning in 1999 or 2000 whatever year scared you the most, look at the following i will type out. for everyone looking at this,i pointed out yesterday about foundation and pattern, this is along that. ANOTHER point that i am laying out there is that i am 2 proud features: neither fake nor negative, reasoning (i am not bashing or gang tackling the fed/economy/us/central banks etc.

i really just want people to learn and see, i have 100 x’s the info i am typing but it has to start little by little somewhere) so here we go, step right up, your journey (OF SORTS! AWAITS) WELCOME TO FANTASY LAND….. since the new years of ’00 japan has 24 then 28 bank of 32 regional banks going into red,some under as well. the USA has poured billions into ours and other countries..over 1/3 of the banks here in dire red, countrywide(will do separate piece later) and mortgage lenders, the euro zone almost 1/3 in negative positions as well. that is what we see and hear about anyway. the USA was expecting people to go risk wild into the summer like years past…the approach has been “SPEND WITH NO REGARD,MAKE COMPANIES WEALTHY, GO BIGGER INTO DEBT, WE CAN PILE IT ON….THE CYCLE DOESNT END,UNTIL each person drops off one by one and can’t stand to play anymore;being so behind and all. what about the Japanese banks holders of 500 million plus in us treasuries!!! THE USA was very enticing going into war, seeing all that money OPEC was gaining after the price band above $32.00 was broken surpassing $40 then “our” SUPERSIZE….WHOOPS, i mean super-spike! look at that…all that $$$$ …..(i can talk and go into many areas,but understand the pattern 22 million barrels used per day and oil going up only $5.00 per bl = so we are talking hundreds of million $$$ in a week to month) so the USA devalues the dollar,makes it weaker so people need more dollars (japan was the guinea pig/biz partner first) so the $ is cheaper, at the end of the day more money comes in. plus the USA gets the bond/treasury rate to go to highest rate seen in decades, WHO WONT BUY THIS…AFTERALL IS THE USA GOING UNDER…NO WAY!!!SAFE HAVEN, TREASURY IS PERFECT. EACH OF THESE EQUATIONS you have pimco, goldman sachs, smith barney, and other companies can benefit. did you hear of the time pimco found out how to flush the treasury sector,and make money!!! they did it well, the us had to put a lot of money into the exchange to prevent the scales from tipping,and investor funds maintaining the earnings. so again you have action by the government,then reaction from traders and brokerage houses…so a pattern/cycle working. what is funny, hahaha funny about the economy now;the government thinks throw money in and we can keep the train going!! HERE IS MY QUICK POINT: ALL THAT I MENTIONED WITH GROWTH, UP AND UP AND UP……WE HAD SMALL MOVES ON CHARTS,little moves in companies…but we have grown and GROWN, we need contraction to reset the scales and get us to another big growth wave!! it is the wave theory applied!!! BUT, there is a but here….it will be different this go around. we are a different group now, generation x,y and z plus in between. people are trading different now, electronic is more prevalent, that is good and bad. i remember people used to be worried years ago, electronic trading will make the floor obsolete,and take away from trades;even more fluid pricing! RIGHT…..THIS IS ALL PART OF A GREAT TIME WE ARE IN, EVERYONE IS HERE……WELCOME TO FANTASY LAND!!!!
this was a washover on many levels,have a few more parts to expand on with this.

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