Gold
Good Sites
Gold
PATTERN,CYCLES….AND MORE CYCLES?
25/08/10
GUESS WHAT LUCKY READERS….I HAVE EARTH SHATTERING NEWS!!! YES,….I AM IN CAPS SCREAMING AT THE WORLD FROM THE LARGEST MOUNTAIN TOP,OR THE DEEPEST VALLEY BELOW(depends on your outlook,kinda sorta’ like half full vs. half empty) but i digress….OK, i got a great joke for you, i sometimes can be longwinded, (APPLAUSE HERE)!! Now this is the part of the intro where you say….”NAH, YOU ARE JUST very detail oriented; and you want everyone to see what you see!! Thank you my great readers for those kind words, and “YES” I really do like everyone to see the whole pattern/angle/story!!!
It is a brand new paragraph, so i can start anew,fresh and to the point…..wait, i think i might be digressing……HOLD IT, STAY ON POINT, C’MON STAY with us here. okay i really am ready,enough with that cycle of sorts, or pattern of sophmoric behavior! NO more HIJINKS!! so i am starting this entry here,but to be fare i will keep brief and add more content on over the course of several entries(insert cycle/pattern joke here). the reason is simple, there is a lot i can add up for this subject and a variety of content to support in a variety of features. first, i enclosed a little pic to just show visually a chart on cycles. why cycles?? the market works in cycles. unfortunately it isnt always easyto trade or there would be no risk. now, back to the earth shattering news: home sales at 15 year low! secondly, consumers are spending less $ money $. Really, people aren’t being as frivolous as always,people are forced to err on a more cautionary spending allowance. It is funny, but i am quite certain the people doing the calculations for the fed bailout didn’t fully account for a few of the things that have been prevalent in our capitalist society over the last 25 years or so. those few things would be: #1 the value of the dollar, the impact on that in world-wide trading also is a small factor. just realize when you have a moving economy and you are forecasting or allocating money you have to account for the depreciation more so. it is what we people of the world who have struggled or lived on budgets do (it is called lowballin’)! so you factor in at a lower coefficient. i could spend hours disecting and providing answers that would have been better, but that isn’t the focus(i don’t want to digress again……too much digression in one story is harmful to your health!) home sales at 15 year low, of course, people are so backed up by the stalling/taking time/insert adjective here… loan modification,bailout that people are backed up too. the average person is reorganizing and sticking close to the vest till things play out. there isn’t many flips or rolls right now. doesn’t the government realize people were living beyond their means??people were going into monstrous debt, but i am not even touching on that right now. we were told 2nd qtr. and 3rd qtr we would see things getting back to normal, people shouldn’t be shocked this cycle of flipping and moving up the ladder getting more than they can handle was a cycle but the foundation was smaller than the chain, and it snapped. the economy is bad, regardless of jobless rate…people are spending less cause they are making less (on average person). my single point, the cycle needs to gain momentum again, there are soooo many weak links all around,they need to be realized first. the bankroll needs to be built up again, then the bigger sides will emerge. AFTERALL, look at investors…commodities are at new high $$ marks on the composite, and exchange levels.that means people are going to smaller,short term products/contracts we are in same period like we were in late 70′s thru 80′s (i can go back to show earlier,too) that was the foundation being built then we had expansion and tech boom. so another point in this cycle is, look at commodities….bigger money for shorter term trades, that amassed wealth over a couple short explosive years will be leading to real estate again, and to a lesser degree the stock market,and whatever new field emerges. remember this readers, these areas have been reached and tried before;what impact does the cycle have?what is coming next? THAT IS where i will pick up for the next feature….until then be safe, and have great day!!